Awards
There is more than one way to win. Nobody takes all of these — a persona built to lose most fights can still take Overachiever or Giant Killer, and you don't have to win a single battle to top Most Connected.
Most wins
Raw victories. The straightforward one.
Michael I. Jordan
11–1 · 7 opponents 11 2
David Blei
9–1 · 6 opponents 9 3
John Santerre
host9–19 · 26 opponents 9 4
Larry Wasserman
7–2 · 6 opponents 7 5
Aaron Clauset
6–2 · 2 opponents 6
Most connected
Distinct people you have battled. The point of an in-person event.
John Santerre
host9–19 · 26 opponents 26 2
Judea Pearl
5–3 · 8 opponents 8 3
Michael I. Jordan
11–1 · 7 opponents 7 4
Bernhard Scholkopf
6–5 · 7 opponents 7 5
David Blei
9–1 · 6 opponents 6
Most battles
Sheer volume. Show up and keep tapping.
John Santerre
host9–19 · 26 opponents 28 2
Michael I. Jordan
11–1 · 7 opponents 12 3
Leo Breiman
5–6 · 5 opponents 11 4
Andrew Gelman
5–6 · 4 opponents 11 5
Ashish Vaswani
3–8 · 4 opponents 11
Best win rate
Efficiency, among players with at least 8 battles.
Michael I. Jordan
11–1 in 12 91.7% 2
David Blei
9–1 in 10 90% 3
Larry Wasserman
7–2 in 9 77.8% 4
Aaron Clauset
6–2 in 8 75% 5
Rudolf Kalman
5–3 in 8 62.5%
Overachiever
How far above your persona’s expected win rate you played. A weak draw can win this outright — and often does.
David Blei
expected 42.9% · played 90% +47.1 2
Aaron Clauset
expected 42.3% · played 75% +32.7 3
Frank Rosenblatt
expected 27.9% · played 50% +22.1 4
Michael I. Jordan
expected 76% · played 91.7% +15.7 5
Grace Hopper
expected 24.2% · played 37.5% +13.3
Giant killer
Wins over personas who were, on paper, far more likely to beat you.
John Santerre
host9 wins overall 9 2
David Blei
9 wins overall 5 3
Rudolf Kalman
5 wins overall 4 4
Frank Rosenblatt
5 wins overall 3 5
Grace Hopper
3 wins overall 2
Polymath
Distinct problem categories you have won in. Range, not depth.
John Santerre
host9–19 · 26 opponents 8 2
Michael I. Jordan
11–1 · 7 opponents 7 3
David Blei
9–1 · 6 opponents 7 4
Larry Wasserman
7–2 · 6 opponents 6 5
Aaron Clauset
6–2 · 2 opponents 5
Scholar
Distinct problems you have seen. You are here to learn the history — this measures how much of it you met.
John Santerre
host9–19 · 26 opponents 23 2
Leo Breiman
5–6 · 5 opponents 11 3
Andrew Gelman
5–6 · 4 opponents 11 4
Michael I. Jordan
11–1 · 7 opponents 11 5
Ashish Vaswani
3–8 · 4 opponents 11
Time traveller
Distinct eras whose figures you have beaten — from Bayes to the transformer.
Michael I. Jordan
11–1 · 7 opponents 4 2
John Santerre
host9–19 · 26 opponents 4 3
Larry Wasserman
7–2 · 6 opponents 4 4
David Blei
9–1 · 6 opponents 3 5
Bernhard Scholkopf
6–5 · 7 opponents 3
How Overachiever works
Every persona has an expected win rate — computed from the score matrix before anyone plays, by asking who would win across every possible matchup. Overachiever measures how far above that line you actually played. Drawing a strong figure gives you no advantage here; drawing a weak one gives you no excuse.